Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1.594142 2.013742 2.587200 3.467578 4.868234 7.192524 11.870291
2025-08-03 1.049284 1.453362 2.097079 3.312955 5.928409 12.841220 46.790769
2025-08-10 0.828888 1.216786 1.900771 3.405748 7.605804 26.489160 1092.838985
2025-08-17 0.707594 1.085357 1.806626 3.613558 10.126868 71.777143 NaN
2025-08-24 0.608709 0.960554 1.668773 3.613704 12.230689 225.432581 NaN
2025-08-31 0.526351 0.845419 1.509566 3.448070 13.440219 905.434600 NaN
2025-09-07 0.482923 0.794663 1.474538 3.642480 17.927640 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.439693 0.735422 1.401326 3.663494 21.855474 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.398594 0.673531 1.305292 3.542113 24.302395 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.366722 0.626115 1.234609 3.484243 28.064966 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.355365 0.620353 1.270629 3.922566 48.768103 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.339151 0.601307 1.265562 4.180247 78.580538 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.317411 0.567626 1.213109 4.168166 104.877073 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.294104 0.527843 1.135397 3.967811 114.888882 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.280100 0.507914 1.113094 4.089156 192.461649 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.270099 0.496041 1.112754 4.361980 499.057157 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.256531 0.474097 1.076057 4.362179 984.861286 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.241052 0.446085 1.015005 4.144582 1121.992632 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.233804 0.437309 1.015239 4.400121 21133.249227 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.224083 0.421474 0.988958 4.427854 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.212922 0.401131 0.944149 4.267963 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.203670 0.384841 0.910991 4.191988 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.202057 0.387528 0.944342 4.771515 NaN NaN NaN